This is well-argued. I do won­der if he is under­es­ti­mat­ing the gains to be had from biotech advances.

What If America’s Best Ideas Were Behind It? | TIME.com

Tyler Cowen, a pro­fes­sor of eco­nom­ics at George Mason Uni­ver­si­ty, warns that inno­va­tion in the U.S. has reached a plateau and a long peri­od of stag­na­tion awaits.

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